FOMC Meeting Schedule 2027 and Fed Rate Odds
The FOMC meeting schedule for 2027, which meetings bring new projections, and how Kalshi and Polymarket price Fed rate decisions after the 2026 hike.
Tomas Orgato
Odds & Forecasts
Tomas Orgato
The odds byline: elections, championships, awards and Fed decisions, priced on Polymarket and Kalshi side by side.
16 articles
About Tomas
Tomas Orgato is the byline on PredictReport's odds coverage. Every piece starts from the live prices on Polymarket and Kalshi: where the two venues agree, where they do not, and how far the numbers have moved.
A price is a crowd's forecast, not an explanation, so the articles add what the number cannot show on its own: base rates, the calendar of events that could move it, and exactly how the contract resolves, which is where traders most often get caught out.
The beat covers the markets readers follow most closely: US elections and nominations, NFL, NBA and soccer futures, awards such as the Nobel Peace Prize and the NFL MVP, and Federal Reserve rate decisions. Their live prices refresh every ten minutes on our arbitrage tracker.
Latest from Tomas
16 totalTIME Person of the Year 2026 Odds: Mamdani Leads
TIME Person of the Year 2026 odds on Polymarket and Kalshi: Zohran Mamdani leads Mark Carney and Pope Leo XIV. How the markets settle and what history says.
Tomas Orgato
March Madness 2027 on Prediction Markets: Full Guide
March Madness 2027 on Kalshi and Polymarket: the new 76-team bracket, key dates, how tournament contracts work, which states restrict them and fees.
Tomas Orgato
Oscars 2027 Odds: How to Trade the Academy Awards
Oscars 2027 on Kalshi and Polymarket: key dates for the 99th Academy Awards, how Oscar markets settle, how accurate they were in 2026, and how to trade them.
Tomas Orgato
2028 Presidential Election Odds: Which Party Wins?
2028 presidential election odds on Polymarket and Kalshi: Democrats favored to win the White House, with Vance, Newsom, AOC and Ossoff leading the nomination races.
Tomas Orgato
2026 Midterm Election Odds: House and Senate
2026 midterm election odds on Polymarket and Kalshi: Democrats near 91% for the House and 60% for the Senate, plus every race that decides control.
Tomas Orgato
2028 Democratic Nominee Odds: AOC, Ossoff, Newsom
2028 Democratic nominee odds on Polymarket and Kalshi: Ocasio-Cortez, Ossoff and Newsom lead a wide-open field. Live prices, venue gaps and how it resolves.
Tomas Orgato
2028 Republican Nominee Odds: Vance, Rubio and the Field
2028 Republican nominee odds: J.D. Vance near 51% on Polymarket and 46% on Kalshi, Rubio second. The full field, the Vance arbitrage and how it resolves.
Tomas Orgato
Super Bowl LXI Odds 2027: Polymarket vs Kalshi
Super Bowl LXI odds on Polymarket and Kalshi: the Rams and Bills lead at 11.5%, the 49ers are third. Full board, September moves and a sportsbook comparison.
Tomas Orgato
NFL MVP Odds 2026: Josh Allen Leads the Market
NFL MVP odds for 2026 on Kalshi and Polymarket: Josh Allen at 27.5%, Brock Purdy up to 15.5%. Every contender, the September moves and how the award resolves.
Tomas Orgato
NBA Championship Odds 2027: Thunder, Spurs, Knicks
NBA championship odds for 2027 on Polymarket and Kalshi: Thunder and Spurs near 21%, champion Knicks third. The full board and the cheaper venue for each team.
Tomas Orgato
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 Odds Before Navi Pillay's Win
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 odds before the October 9 announcement: Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms and Save the Children led, then Navi Pillay won.
Tomas Orgato
Fed Rate Hike Odds: What Markets Expect in October
Fed rate odds after the September 2026 hike: markets price another 25 bp increase at about 55% for October 28, and almost no chance of a rate cut this year.
Tomas Orgato
Prediction Market Odds Explained: Cents to American
Prediction market odds explained: how a price in cents becomes a probability, how to convert it to American and decimal odds, and why prices sum above 100%.
Tomas Orgato
Prediction Markets vs Sports Betting: The Real Cost Math
Prediction markets vs sports betting compared on fees, odds, taxes, and legality. See which one actually pays you more in 2026.
Tomas Orgato
World Cup 2026 Winner Odds: How Markets Priced Champion Spain
How prediction markets priced the World Cup 2026 winner before kickoff: Argentina the narrow favourite, Spain fifth at 9-11%, and what Spain's title shows.
Tomas Orgato