Nobel Peace Prize Winner
12 outcomes·4.2 pt gap
Poly
Kalshi
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms▲6.814.6¢10.5¢
Save the Children▲2.511.2¢13.5¢
Yulia Navalnaya7.5¢8.5¢
Committee to Protect Journalists▲5.56.2¢4.5¢Culture Odds
Prize, award and cultural event odds compared side by side on Polymarket and Kalshi.
PolyKalshiSudan's Emergency Response Rooms▲6.814.6¢10.5¢Save the Children▲2.511.2¢13.5¢Yulia Navalnaya7.5¢8.5¢Committee to Protect Journalists▲5.56.2¢4.5¢Awards and culture odds on Polymarket and Kalshi
Prize markets — the Nobels, major awards, person-of-the-year lists — are where the two venues disagree most, and for a structural reason: each lists its own slate of nominees. Kalshi and Polymarket often share only a third of the same names on a Nobel Peace Prize book, so the prices reflect different fields as much as different opinions.
Only outcomes that exist on both venues appear here. Where one venue lists a nominee the other does not, that name is simply absent rather than shown against a blank.
Frequently asked questions
Can you bet on the Nobel Peace Prize?
Yes, on both venues — though each lists its own slate of nominees and the two overlap only partly. The rows above are the names that appear on both.
Why do award markets have wider spreads?
They attract less volume, so books are thinner and bid–ask spreads wider. When a Kalshi book is wider than five points the range is shown instead of a midpoint, because a midpoint from a thin book would imply a precision that is not there.
Compare every tracked market on the Polymarket vs Kalshi odds page, or read our reviews of Polymarket and Kalshi before funding an account.
