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Which Party Wins the 2028 Election: Polymarket vs Kalshi
2 outcomes on both venues·updated Sep 1, 09:50 PM UTC
Democratic leads at 59.5¢ on Polymarket against 49.0¢ on Kalshi. The two venues agree closely on this market right now: no outcome differs by 3 points or more.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 59.5¢ | 46–52¢ | — |
| Republican | 40.5¢ | 47–53¢ | — |
Polymarket shows the last traded price; Kalshi shows the bid/ask midpoint. Where the Kalshi book is too wide to compare, the raw bid–ask range is shown instead and no difference is reported. Prices move continuously — confirm on the venue before trading.
Where to trade this
Polymarket review
USDC settlement, taker fees 0.75–1.80%, no interest on balances.
Kalshi review
CFTC-regulated, USD settlement, about 4% APY on idle cash.
Deciding between them? Read the full Polymarket vs Kalshi comparison, or see the best prediction market apps.
